19 Jun 2025, 15:08 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 02 Jun 2025, 12:15 |
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Joined: 12/10/07 Posts: 35002 Post Likes: +13520 Location: Minneapolis, MN (KFCM)
Aircraft: 1970 Baron B55
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Username Protected wrote: And after all of this, exactly one species (us) advanced to the point of even being able to ask this question. How do you know that? That is "sun revolves around the Earth" kind of thinking, using only our perspective to decide what exists. Mike C. I'm pretty sure Dan was referring to species on Earth WRT advancements, not galaxy or universe wide. Despite what I've seen in a few movies I too don't think any other species on earth ever achieved the ability to launch rockets into space with themselves on board.
_________________ -lance
It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 02 Jun 2025, 13:15 |
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Joined: 11/03/08 Posts: 16325 Post Likes: +27419 Location: Peachtree City GA / Stoke-On-Trent UK
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Username Protected wrote: Don't discount how much the SpaceX success in the 21st Century was predicated on the technical innovation and output from NASA in the 20th.
There's absolutely technical advancement happening across the space industry, but their baseline was from a textbook on NASA's prior successes and failures. it's not about technology so much - it's more about having a culture that is willing to take the next step and push boundaries, and incorporate free-market economics into the mix. Left to nasa there would be no re-usable rockets and Russia would still own the commercial launch market. It takes risk-takers to progress forward.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 03 Jun 2025, 09:32 |
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Joined: 03/07/18 Posts: 222 Post Likes: +163 Location: Woburn, MA
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Username Protected wrote: Don't discount how much the SpaceX success in the 21st Century was predicated on the technical innovation and output from NASA in the 20th.
There's absolutely technical advancement happening across the space industry, but their baseline was from a textbook on NASA's prior successes and failures. it's not about technology so much - it's more about having a culture that is willing to take the next step and push boundaries, and incorporate free-market economics into the mix. Left to nasa there would be no re-usable rockets and Russia would still own the commercial launch market. It takes risk-takers to progress forward.
Some of the culture risk is highlighted nicely in Ashlee Vance's When The Heavens Went On Sale, particularly on the headwinds that Pete Worden received when he tried to use NASA Ames to support commercial space endeavors and launch accessibility. It's a big organization stymied by internal politics (which is even more documented in Alan Stern's Chasing New Horizons, which almost didn't fly to Pluto because he was using cheaper APL resources and NASA JPL wanted the work).
Your comment on risk-takers making space more accessible is right on, and I believe it's evident that NASA is financially and vocally supporting that for LEO programs (and even some Moon landers now). That commitment will only increase when the ISS is de-orbited in a few years and a commercial station replaces it.
But your initial comment was that NASA has spent decades with only incremental steps, and that's not true. No other organization is shipping Mars landers and deep space telescopes -- at least for now.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 03 Jun 2025, 18:21 |
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Joined: 01/06/08 Posts: 5159 Post Likes: +2979
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NASA's conservationism is driven by politics - the media jump all over them if anything fails, so they can't risk failure of any sort. The engineers and scientists would very happy to do more technology development, but washington level politics prevents it. Similar problems at the national labs where I used to work. Username Protected wrote: Don't discount how much the SpaceX success in the 21st Century was predicated on the technical innovation and output from NASA in the 20th.
There's absolutely technical advancement happening across the space industry, but their baseline was from a textbook on NASA's prior successes and failures. it's not about technology so much - it's more about having a culture that is willing to take the next step and push boundaries, and incorporate free-market economics into the mix. Left to nasa there would be no re-usable rockets and Russia would still own the commercial launch market. It takes risk-takers to progress forward.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 03 Jun 2025, 20:11 |
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Joined: 03/23/11 Posts: 14301 Post Likes: +6508 Location: Frederick, MD
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....and NASA's management structure is not conducive for innovation.  Username Protected wrote: of the culture risk is highlighted nicely in Ashlee Vance's When The Heavens Went On Sale, particularly on the headwinds that Pete Worden received when he tried to use NASA Ames to support commercial space endeavors and launch accessibility. It's a big organization stymied by internal politics (which is even more documented in Alan Stern's Chasing New Horizons, which almost didn't fly to Pluto because he was using cheaper APL resources and NASA JPL wanted the work).
Your comment on risk-takers making space more accessible is right on, and I believe it's evident that NASA is financially and vocally supporting that for LEO programs (and even some Moon landers now). That commitment will only increase when the ISS is de-orbited in a few years and a commercial station replaces it.
But your initial comment was that NASA has spent decades with only incremental steps, and that's not true. No other organization is shipping Mars landers and deep space telescopes -- at least for now.
_________________ Views represented here are my own.....and do not in anyway reflect my employer's position.
Last edited on 04 Jun 2025, 08:40, edited 4 times in total.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 03 Jun 2025, 20:11 |
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Joined: 03/23/11 Posts: 14301 Post Likes: +6508 Location: Frederick, MD
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Well....I wouldn't say that. Much was done outside NASA. We did a lot of tech development in the early 90's....i.e. Delta Clipper....NASA was given the vehicle to tinker with....SDIO built and developed it....and NASA crashed it. SpaceX technologies were available 30 years ago....all that was needed was funding..... Username Protected wrote: Don't discount how much the SpaceX success in the 21st Century was predicated on the technical innovation and output from NASA in the 20th.
There's absolutely technical advancement happening across the space industry, but their baseline was from a textbook on NASA's prior successes and failures.
_________________ Views represented here are my own.....and do not in anyway reflect my employer's position.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 04 Jun 2025, 08:05 |
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Joined: 11/03/08 Posts: 16325 Post Likes: +27419 Location: Peachtree City GA / Stoke-On-Trent UK
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Username Protected wrote: But they’re not grabbing a launch vehicle out of the air with chopsticks in 1995. Step one for something like that - you have to have the audacity to think that it might be possible. No one in a government agency is going to go that far out of their box.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 04 Jun 2025, 08:38 |
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Joined: 03/23/11 Posts: 14301 Post Likes: +6508 Location: Frederick, MD
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I worked for Maj Jess Sponable (then)….and I don’t believe NASA funded the Delta Clipper DC-X. The vehicle was transferred to NASA after we finished our flight testing at White Sands. But that was +30 years ago….so I could be off, but I know our thoughts were not positive with NASA. https://youtu.be/J6ZyDSmC-d0?si=aI1qJOoMPt7rV2-IFixed the quotes…. Username Protected wrote: Rick, you misquoted me and Jeff above (swapped our boxes).
I’m not typically the one in the room defending NASA, but wow are there some strong opinions in here.
NASA helped fund the DCX/Delta Clipper program, and while it ultimately did go up in smoke, the mix of federally- and privately-funded learnings from the program did feed into the popular space companies we have today — due significantly to DoD and NASA funding into the 80s and 90s.
Can you imagine where we’d be if we stopped funding these programs when the Apollo generation retired?
I agree that SpaceX technologies were available 30 years ago. They first launched almost 20 years ago, so that timeline works. But they’re not grabbing a launch vehicle out of the air with chopsticks in 1995.
_________________ Views represented here are my own.....and do not in anyway reflect my employer's position.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 04 Jun 2025, 13:20 |
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Joined: 03/07/18 Posts: 222 Post Likes: +163 Location: Woburn, MA
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Username Protected wrote: I worked for Maj Jess Sponable (then)….and I don’t believe NASA funded the Delta Clipper DC-X. The vehicle was transferred to NASA after we finished our flight testing at White Sands. But that was +30 years ago….so I could be off, but I know our thoughts were not positive with NASA. https://youtu.be/J6ZyDSmC-d0?si=aI1qJOoMPt7rV2-IYeah, I think you're right on that and I misspoke. I'm guessing it went to NASA when McDonnell Douglas was tightening its belt in the mid 90s ahead of the Boeing merger.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 04 Jun 2025, 20:08 |
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Joined: 02/27/08 Posts: 3399 Post Likes: +1458 Location: Galveston, TX
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Username Protected wrote: The honeymoon is over with Musk. Isaacman was collateral damage.
Vindictiveness defines this administration and it will slow down SpaceX aspirations going forward. Competence is secondary to absolute loyalty.
Mike C. The honeymoon was over for Musk years ago when the left found out he was not one of them. I am not sure he cares what anyone thinks of him and that seems to be an asset.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 04 Jun 2025, 21:41 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20354 Post Likes: +25523 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
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Username Protected wrote: I am not sure he cares what anyone thinks of him and that seems to be an asset. Not when it comes to SpaceX which depends on federal regulators to approve flights and government contracts to make money. Now being decidedly on Trump's enemy list will make things difficult. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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