24 Oct 2025, 16:08 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 00:14 |
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Joined: 06/02/15 Posts: 4158 Post Likes: +2880 Location: Fresno, CA (KFCH)
Aircraft: T210M
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Username Protected wrote: Looked pretty nominal to me!
My predictions: (I have no inside knowledge, just my speculation) Flight 11 Block 2 do orbit and reenter over the gulf near StarBase. (They don't catch the booster) This will happen quickly a month or so.
Flight 12 (block 3) doing exactly the same flight they just did with flight 10.(Try to catch booster, splash down in Indian ocean)
Flight 13 Do orbit and reenter over the gulf near starbase. (possibly reuse flight 12 booster, try to catch booster)
Flight 14 Do orbit and do active aerodynamic divert to demonstrate they can put the debris field in the gulf and fly to near starbase. (Catch booster)
Flight 15: They attempt a ship catch..
I'd give it a 50% chance they skip the last block 2 flight and flight 11 is the first block 3. IF they do this first block 3 will be in November.
Rest of schedule remains the same.
All orbital flight(s) will deliver a few of the new starlinks. (less than 10) to test the new Sats. Did I correctly hear the announcer say the new sats will each be capable of 50 TERAbytes/second !! Wow, just wow, if assuming to be true.
_________________ G3X PFD, G3X MFD, G5, GFC500, GTN750xi, GTN650xi, GTX345 Previous: TBM850/T210M/C182P APS 2004
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 00:41 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20705 Post Likes: +26139 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Did I correctly hear the announcer say the new sats will each be capable of 50 TERAbytes/second !! Wow, just wow, if assuming to be true. No, they said <some number> terabits per second total PER LAUNCH. The aggregate of all the satellites in one launch. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 00:51 |
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Joined: 06/02/15 Posts: 4158 Post Likes: +2880 Location: Fresno, CA (KFCH)
Aircraft: T210M
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Username Protected wrote: Did I correctly hear the announcer say the new sats will each be capable of 50 TERAbytes/second !! Wow, just wow, if assuming to be true. No, they said <some number> terabits per second total PER LAUNCH. The aggregate of all the satellites in one launch. Mike C.
Thanks Mike, I was half listening to the live broadcast and didn't want to go backwards.
Still, pretty impressive. I loved the delivery mechanism. Very clever engineering.
_________________ G3X PFD, G3X MFD, G5, GFC500, GTN750xi, GTN650xi, GTX345 Previous: TBM850/T210M/C182P APS 2004
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 07:18 |
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Joined: 11/03/08 Posts: 16865 Post Likes: +28620 Location: Peachtree City GA / Stoke-On-Trent UK
Aircraft: A33
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Username Protected wrote: This is quite a feat. Once they complete this test program….it’s gonna put a lot of old rocket tech outta Busness. The old way of lunching space trash won’t be profitable.  I'm intrigued by the cargo door - it seems very small and tailored to their own satellites. I wonder if a bigger door is in the works to be able to launch (and maybe retrieve) larger satellites in different form factors.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 07:28 |
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Joined: 03/23/11 Posts: 14570 Post Likes: +6759 Location: Frederick, MD
Aircraft: V35A TC
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Most defiantly there were will be other variants for other missions, like polar trajectories ….maybe even some for DoD.  Remember….they are still testing this vehicle. Username Protected wrote: This is quite a feat. Once they complete this test program….it’s gonna put a lot of old rocket tech outta Busness. The old way of lunching space trash won’t be profitable.  I'm intrigued by the cargo door - it seems very small and tailored to their own satellites. I wonder if a bigger door is in the works to be able to launch (and maybe retrieve) larger satellites in different form factors.
_________________ Views represented here are my own.....and do not in anyway reflect my employer's position.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 08:57 |
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Joined: 04/26/13 Posts: 21862 Post Likes: +22498 Location: Columbus , IN (KBAK)
Aircraft: 1968 Baron D55
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Username Protected wrote: I'm intrigued by the cargo door - it seems very small and tailored to their own satellites. I wonder if a bigger door is in the works to be able to launch (and maybe retrieve) larger satellites in different form factors. You’re right that it’s specifically designed for launching Starlink 3 satellites. Like Falcon 9, that’s most of what it will be doing because it’s directly profitable for SpaceX. There will certainly be other designs to support more generic payloads once they get the fundamentals ironed out. They’re nowhere near ready to carry commercial payloads right now, but in-house stuff? Sure. The one thing that I wondered while watching the Pez Dispenser at work was what happens if it jammed with a satellite part-way out? Yes, the door is on the “cold” side of the ship, but something like that hanging out of the side couldn’t be good for re-entry dynamics.
_________________ My last name rhymes with 'geese'.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 27 Aug 2025, 09:41 |
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Joined: 08/25/22 Posts: 89 Post Likes: +33 Company: Instacart Location: Ithaca, NY
Aircraft: PA-34-220T, M20J
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Username Protected wrote: I'm intrigued by the cargo door - it seems very small and tailored to their own satellites. I wonder if a bigger door is in the works to be able to launch (and maybe retrieve) larger satellites in different form factors. You’re right that it’s specifically designed for launching Starlink 3 satellites. Like Falcon 9, that’s most of what it will be doing because it’s directly profitable for SpaceX. There will certainly be other designs to support more generic payloads once they get the fundamentals ironed out. They’re nowhere near ready to carry commercial payloads right now, but in-house stuff? Sure. The one thing that I wondered while watching the Pez Dispenser at work was what happens if it jammed with a satellite part-way out? Yes, the door is on the “cold” side of the ship, but something like that hanging out of the side couldn’t be good for re-entry dynamics.
Numbers game - they think the odds are low enough that even if they have a loss of vehicle when it does happen, it's not worth building additional redundancy beyond whatever emergency clearance measures (that we probably don't know about) they have built into it. When you're aiming to build a ship per day (so let's even say 1 per month or per week in the nearer future) they can be pretty expendable. This is especially true when you are able to be the low cost provider, because you only have to charge slightly less than your competitors to crush their margins and pad your own...
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 06 Sep 2025, 08:52 |
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So booster 15 moved to the pad (probably for static fire test) this answers the question on is flight 11 going to be block 2 or block 3. Its block 2 that has flown before. I do not expect them to recover it this flight, they are moving to block 3 and a used block 2 is just more junk to store in limited space.
I also saw some news that that starlink pez dispnser loader was emptied of mass simulators aka dumb links, that seems to suggest that flight 11 either will not carry any payload or will carry real starlinks to orbit. With this pace we could see flight 11 this month.
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 14 Oct 2025, 04:12 |
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So flight 11 looked pretty good. I wonder if there going to get a V3 flight of this year?
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 14 Oct 2025, 06:13 |
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Joined: 11/03/08 Posts: 16865 Post Likes: +28620 Location: Peachtree City GA / Stoke-On-Trent UK
Aircraft: A33
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maybe I missed it, one one of these last 2 successful flights, did they try a tank-to-tank propellant transfer? Wasn't that a key demonstration they were trying to achieve at some point, related to proof-of-concept for in-orbit refueling ?
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Post subject: Re: SpaceX Starship Launch Posted: 14 Oct 2025, 08:42 |
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Joined: 03/23/11 Posts: 14570 Post Likes: +6759 Location: Frederick, MD
Aircraft: V35A TC
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coming on the V3 flights.... Username Protected wrote: maybe I missed it, one one of these last 2 successful flights, did they try a tank-to-tank propellant transfer? Wasn't that a key demonstration they were trying to achieve at some point, related to proof-of-concept for in-orbit refueling ?
_________________ Views represented here are my own.....and do not in anyway reflect my employer's position.
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