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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 14:56 
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Joined: 05/23/13
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Username Protected wrote:
The Citation V and Ultra are the ones on the bubble. I think it is solid advice to do DOF overhauls on anything nice, with first or second run engines.

There are basically no Citation Vs with first run engines any more and precious few with second run.

Ultra would have more.

Mike C.


Approximately 1/3 of the Citation V fleet is 7000 hours or less.
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 15:17 
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Mike, have you had a chance to do some of the same flights with the V that you did in the MU2 such that you have block time and trip fuel comparisons?


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 15:40 
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Joined: 08/05/16
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Company: Tack Mobile
Location: KBJC
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What's this about aircraft inventory levels?


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 16:29 
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Joined: 12/03/14
Posts: 20800
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Company: Ciholas, Inc
Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
Username Protected wrote:
Mike, have you had a chance to do some of the same flights with the V that you did in the MU2 such that you have block time and trip fuel comparisons?

I don't have scientific grade data, but roughly for a KEVV to KSRQ trip, 685 nm:

MU2M: 2h40 typically, 200 gallons

C560V: 2h05 typically, 400 gallons

It is just hard to be more efficient than an MU2.

I bought the jet not for that trip, but for KEVV to KBFI. That's a long day in the MU2 with headwinds, the jet will be much better and non stop most of the time.

Mike C.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 17:22 
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Joined: 05/23/13
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Company: Jet Acquisitions
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Username Protected wrote:
What's this about aircraft inventory levels?


They are getting lower. What we are seeing airplanes sell for is just bizarre.

Today we made a good buy on a nice little jet for a new client, we beat it to the market. Wins are rare these days!

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 18:54 
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Joined: 05/17/10
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Username Protected wrote:
What's this about aircraft inventory levels?

They are getting lower. What we are seeing airplanes sell for is just bizarre.

Today we made a good buy on a nice little jet for a new client, we beat it to the market. Wins are rare these days!

Lower & bizarre & a good buy on a little jet blah bah

That's how you answer about aircraft inventory levels?

not to mention
viewtopic.php?p=2973027#p2973027
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 20:43 
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Joined: 02/02/08
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Location: Reading, PA
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Bizarre, yes!

Just looking through TAP and Barnstormers, some Cherokee 140’s have now passed the $100k asking price point. A high time but clean C172 with some life left on the engine and a 430W is $149K. Vanbortel has a C150 for sale at $59.9K. Some other C150’s are in the $70K range.

These airplanes appear nice, but by no means are they remarkable. Average, to above average at best.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 20:46 
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Joined: 05/05/09
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Username Protected wrote:
Bizarre, yes!

Just looking through TAP and Barnstormers, some Cherokee 140’s have now passed the $100k asking price point. A high time but clean C172 with some life left on the engine and a 430W is $149K. Vanbortel has a C150 for sale at $59.9K. Some other C150’s are in the $70K range.

These airplanes appear nice, but by no means are they remarkable. Average, to above average at best.


One word: INFLATION.


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 21:16 
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Now do you have time to answer the question about these shops you are talking to that think you can't fly your engine past TBO on Part 91? It would help your argument if you actually cited the people or shops that you say make these claims. Too much unsubstantiated hearsay that you brush off when directly asked and then pivot to another angle, like insurance carriers now possibly refusing to insure if past TBO. Don't make the claim unless you are willing to back it up. I'm here to learn, like most of us. Hearsay doesn't help.


Fair enough, I'll call tomorrow to verify the shops I mentioned.

I placed a call to Textron today.

It was not my intent to share anything misleading or to pivot.

I am not trying to win an argument about the right or wrong of operating past TBO, I have said many times that I am fine with it and have been since the FAA put out a letter clarifying the legality.

My entire point is that there are other concerns that need to be considered.


Where can i read up on your entire point?
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 21:27 
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Username Protected wrote:
Mike, have you had a chance to do some of the same flights with the V that you did in the MU2 such that you have block time and trip fuel comparisons?

I don't have scientific grade data, but roughly for a KEVV to KSRQ trip, 685 nm:

MU2M: 2h40 typically, 200 gallons

C560V: 2h05 typically, 400 gallons

It is just hard to be more efficient than an MU2.

I bought the jet not for that trip, but for KEVV to KBFI. That's a long day in the MU2 with headwinds, the jet will be much better and non stop most of the time.

Mike C.


Out of curiosity, how much fuel are you comfortable landing with? I'm showing that as 5 hours and ~5500 lbs in a Cit V. That's not much for reserves!

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 21:41 
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Joined: 05/17/10
Posts: 4020
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Location: canuck
Aircraft: x23mouse
Username Protected wrote:
Fair enough, I'll call tomorrow to verify the shops I mentioned.

I placed a call to Textron today.

It was not my intent to share anything misleading or to pivot.

I am not trying to win an argument about the right or wrong of operating past TBO, I have said many times that I am fine with it and have been since the FAA put out a letter clarifying the legality.

My entire point is that there are other concerns that need to be considered.

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nightwatch...


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 21:47 
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Joined: 07/21/08
Posts: 5843
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Location: Decatur, TX (XA99)
Aircraft: 1979 Bonanza A36
Username Protected wrote:
I don't have scientific grade data, but roughly for a KEVV to KSRQ trip, 685 nm:

MU2M: 2h40 typically, 200 gallons

C560V: 2h05 typically, 400 gallons

It is just hard to be more efficient than an MU2.

I bought the jet not for that trip, but for KEVV to KBFI. That's a long day in the MU2 with headwinds, the jet will be much better and non stop most of the time.

Mike C.


Out of curiosity, how much fuel are you comfortable landing with? I'm showing that as 5 hours and ~5500 lbs in a Cit V. That's not much for reserves!

Yea, its not going to happen with ifr reserves unless you can get to 41k AND have at least a 50 knot push.
Not sure where Mike is getting his numbers. Personally, I will not flight plan anything under 1,200# reserve in just about any of the 550/560 planes. When you push the throttles up and see 3,600# fuel burns, things get real in a hurry....

edit: It can be done at long range cruise with zero winds, but I don't personally know anyone that fly's their plane that way. The juice just isn't worth the squeeze for most people.
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Last edited on 29 Oct 2021, 21:58, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 21:53 
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Posts: 92
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Username Protected wrote:

Yea, its not going to happen with ifr reserves unless you can get to 41k AND have at least a 50 knot push.
Not sure where Mike is getting his numbers. Personally, I will not flight plan anything under 1,200# reserve in just about any of the 550/560 planes. When you push the throttles up and see 3,600# fuel burns, things get real in a hurry....


1200 is minimum reserves at the company I work for for Ultra/V/Encore. Also wondering what the empty weight is of Mikes V, can you top it off with more than just crew?


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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 22:01 
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Joined: 07/21/08
Posts: 5843
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Location: Decatur, TX (XA99)
Aircraft: 1979 Bonanza A36
Username Protected wrote:

Yea, its not going to happen with ifr reserves unless you can get to 41k AND have at least a 50 knot push.
Not sure where Mike is getting his numbers. Personally, I will not flight plan anything under 1,200# reserve in just about any of the 550/560 planes. When you push the throttles up and see 3,600# fuel burns, things get real in a hurry....


1200 is minimum reserves at the company I work for for Ultra/V/Encore. Also wondering what the empty weight is of Mikes V, can you top it off with more than just crew?

We topped off the Encore yesterday and came nonstop SJT-VNY against the wind with 2 crew and 5 pax. If he has the gross wt increase it should work.
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 Post subject: Re: Aircraft inventory levels are critically low.
PostPosted: 29 Oct 2021, 22:07 
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Joined: 01/24/10
Posts: 7445
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Location: Concord , CA (KCCR)
Aircraft: 1967 Baron B55
UL FUEL IS GOING CAUSE PRICES TO RISE. The market will be divided in the short term.

8 dollars a gallon AV GAS or JETA will cause a lot of owners to sell. Prices will drop dramatically on planes as owners rush for the exits.

It will be a buyers market once again.


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