14 Jul 2025, 16:32 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 15:33 |
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Joined: 05/10/09 Posts: 3859 Post Likes: +2969 Company: On the wagon Location: Overland Park, KS (KLXT)
Aircraft: Planeless
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Username Protected wrote: goes 360 knots, burns 50 GPH, goes 1000 nm, carries 800 lbs, and flies at FL410. Sold. The E500 is awesome in theory, but the oddball avionics and questionable continued existence of the company is very scary. SF50 is all Garmin. It will be supported for a long time to come and Cirrus isn't going anywhere. Those are all big advantages to the SF50
_________________ Stop in flyover country and have some BBQ!
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 15:42 |
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Joined: 05/22/09 Posts: 5642 Post Likes: +1115 Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Aircraft: 1977 A36
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Username Protected wrote: This.. exactly. What is the step up from a good high performance single piston?
I think JC answered that with a Pilatus. He is our "step-up" poster child. He researched all this hard and no one wanted a "jet" more than JC to avoid the clown plane image. 
_________________ It is possible to fly without motors, but not without knowledge and skill.WW
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 15:50 |
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Joined: 11/06/10 Posts: 12166 Post Likes: +3052 Company: Looking Location: Outside Boston, or some hotel somewhere
Aircraft: None
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Username Protected wrote: BTW- I have bought two new Cessna's in my life. You know how many times they asked me what I wanted in a step up aircraft? Zero. When I was looking a few years ago, the Cessna salesman discussed stepping up from the TTx and the 206 we were discussing. And for Cessna the jump was into a jet, and how the a SETP was not enough airplane.  Tim
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 16:47 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20452 Post Likes: +25740 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: However, for most jets from the Mustang and up in size, the drag penalties on the airframe have far out weighed the potential savings on the jet engines. And this is a legacy think on the jet manufacturers. Just like you accuse other of piston think, you exhibit legacy jet think. The laws of physics is not some sort of mental delusion by jet makers. Thick air is slower airplanes is more fuel burn. Period. Any jet engine limited to low altitudes will burn more fuel no matter how "optimized" you think you can make it. Your low altitude optimizations are just a few percentage points, not enough to matter compared to the thick air. Quote: The interest in the Eclipse, and the SF50 both demonstrate like the original SR20 and SR22 there is a potential for an unmet market need in aviation. There is definitely a market for owner flown cheap jets. The problem is actually making a cheap jet profitably. Just because there is demand doesn't mean there will be supply. Quote: In this case a short legged jet for the owner pilot with a low pilot workload designed for the 250-750 NM range with occasional excursions farther. Twin jet is no more workload than single. That's piston think again. I guarantee if an engine fails, the twin is WAY LESS pilot work load! Quote: All three are planning to sell the other aircraft when they get their SF50s (running bet is either 2016 or 2017, they are down the list a bit). Reason, it fits the mission, They need to go slow, low, short, carry little, and burn more fuel? Add an engine and you improve EVERYTHING about the airplane except the false perceptions of pilots who know only piston think. Quote: But the market will eventually tell the story, engineering will not. Economics will tell the story, and the economics of a SEJ stink. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 16:54 |
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Joined: 08/05/11 Posts: 5248 Post Likes: +2426
Aircraft: BE-55
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Username Protected wrote: I don't think mike will ever get it. There is a reason companies don't let their engineers do the marketing. They'd never sell anything. From a practical stand point all kinds of good reasons can be made why it's not the best choice in almost all aspects. I think it's ugly, slow for a jet and flies too low. But I also think it will sell when and if certified. I've seen the people drooling on it at Oshkosh for years. And these were the people who can afford it. Jason, I'm pretty sure Sam wasn't referring to segments of the whole american population in his reference to the middle group. More likely meant the middle of the upper group. Meaning you. I drive a piston so I'm lower upper? JC just attempting to banter me over "rich people". He has no idea how rich I am, have been or will be. It doesn't have to mean "love of money" to be rich: big difference. But then what I say infuriates some that they really can't hear my real message. "Fad" wasn't the word; "pipe dream" was the word I was looking for. Even people that aren't engineers and want a jet want to go higher than FL25; and a 400# useful load? Buy a premier.  and Mike goes a lot further than just being a practical engineer; he recognizes the ego trap of someone flying this thing. I know I don't fly with people on those gigs either. IIRC the cirrus jet was first introduced by the original owners as somewhat of a marketing pitch to raise revenue to rescue the company. That's how it struck me anyway and I could certainly be FOS on that. Even the mustang wouldn't suit my mission.and to me, that why it's a flop and why Cessna tried to curtail damages with another flop, so far, the M2. Then it's not that far away you're looking at what Dave S is, then say you want to go across continent with 6 on board: you need 2 pilots. Or buy the Pilatus.at least maybe, maybe, going east. Hey, I wish them the best, I'm not betting against them, but I ain't putting dollar on them either.
_________________ “ Embrace the Suck”
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 16:58 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20452 Post Likes: +25740 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Oshkosh tells the tale. Mob scene at Cirrus with a lot more than lookers, people EXCITED about the jet and putting down deposits. Most everyone else was dead, including Cessna with the M2, Beech with a $1.6M Baron, etc. Similar mob scene at Eclipse tents when they were "selling". The mob scene is "cheap jet", not "jet single". Sell a twin jet for the same price, you get the same mob, plus some corporate and charter buyers, so the plane can actually be cheaper due to higher volume. Quote: IMO the challenge is not engineering perfection, its PILOTS. There are plenty of good pilots in the world, they just don't have $2M plus operating expenses, so they don't count. There are also a lot of rich people in the world, they are usually busy and don't have time to fly around 300 hours a year, attend 2 weeks of training, argue for hours on pilot boards, and live aviation. They do however count and they have spoken, they want a jet that a private pilot w/IR can handle flying 50-100 hours a year. Cirrus is just the only company listening. This is one of the most dangerous ideas in this thread, the idea that having only one engine allows the pilot to be somehow lesser and to take less training. In fact, just the OPPOSITE is true. 99% of flying a jet has nothing to do with 1 engine or 2. If the SF50 gets pilots who fear they can't handle two jet engines, they have no business flying a jet of any kind. They are going to find smoking holes in the ground just like so many did with SR20/22s. If Cirrus is smart, they will do what Eclipse did and require training through regulatory means. Then all the buyers ARE going to spend 2-3 weeks in training and they ARE going to require recurrent training once a year. So these 50 hour/year pilots have to step up to the training plate and do it. If Cirrus is deluding buyers that all they need is an IR, then that is fraud. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:05 |
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Joined: 11/08/12 Posts: 12822 Post Likes: +5263 Location: Jackson, MS (KHKS)
Aircraft: 1961 Cessna 172
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Username Protected wrote: If the SF50 gets pilots who fear they can't handle two jet engines, they have no business flying a jet of any kind. They are going to find smoking holes in the ground just like so many did with SR20/22s.
. The Jet's weakness' are it's strengths here. It stays slow and low. It will get treated like a Meridian by ATC and not have to mix it up with the big boys. Systems will presumably be simple and approach speeds low. It's probably not going to be much more complex to operate in the system than a Turbo22.
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:13 |
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Joined: 11/06/10 Posts: 12166 Post Likes: +3052 Company: Looking Location: Outside Boston, or some hotel somewhere
Aircraft: None
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Username Protected wrote: However, for most jets from the Mustang and up in size, the drag penalties on the airframe have far out weighed the potential savings on the jet engines. And this is a legacy think on the jet manufacturers. Just like you accuse other of piston think, you exhibit legacy jet think. The laws of physics is not some sort of mental delusion by jet makers. Thick air is slower airplanes is more fuel burn. Period. Any jet engine limited to low altitudes will burn more fuel no matter how "optimized" you think you can make it. Your low altitude optimizations are just a few percentage points, not enough to matter compared to the thick air. Quote: The interest in the Eclipse, and the SF50 both demonstrate like the original SR20 and SR22 there is a potential for an unmet market need in aviation. There is definitely a market for owner flown cheap jets. The problem is actually making a cheap jet profitably. Just because there is demand doesn't mean there will be supply. Quote: In this case a short legged jet for the owner pilot with a low pilot workload designed for the 250-750 NM range with occasional excursions farther. Twin jet is no more workload than single. That's piston think again. I guarantee if an engine fails, the twin is WAY LESS pilot work load! Quote: All three are planning to sell the other aircraft when they get their SF50s (running bet is either 2016 or 2017, they are down the list a bit). Reason, it fits the mission, They need to go slow, low, short, carry little, and burn more fuel? Add an engine and you improve EVERYTHING about the airplane except the false perceptions of pilots who know only piston think. Quote: But the market will eventually tell the story, engineering will not. Economics will tell the story, and the economics of a SEJ stink. Mike C.
Mike,
You have all the same arguments people made against the SETP. Guess who is winning that debate? Piper, PC12, TBM all are laughing all the way to the bank.
You also assume physics are the only thing that matters. The reality is regulations, certification requirements, public perception, all matter significantly more.
In the USA, 99.9% of the roads have a top speed of 70 MPH, yet we purchase how many super cars a year? How many here on BT bought a V8 or V12 600+ HP monster car to accelerate from a stop light for 3 seconds before hitting the speed limit?
You keep assuming there is a rational level of thought in the consumer. This has been fundamentally proven false, look at betamax versus vhs, look at diesel versus gas (fuel efficiency till recently).... there are many examples where a product is the not the best, it is not the most efficient, but it meets a need and comes to dominate the market place and goes beyond what the original target market intended.
Tim
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:15 |
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Joined: 12/09/13 Posts: 241 Post Likes: +150 Location: KICT/KFFZ/KLAS
Aircraft: CE25B+/CE25C/DA40
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The speed of the SF50 kills me. 300knts is only seen with WOT @ Fl250. If you acctually want to go 1000miles with your 400Lb payload you must slow down to 210knots @ Fl250.
210 knots.
Throw in a 30knot headwind and you might as well be in a Bo. A meridian would be faster.
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:17 |
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Joined: 11/08/12 Posts: 12822 Post Likes: +5263 Location: Jackson, MS (KHKS)
Aircraft: 1961 Cessna 172
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Username Protected wrote: Mike,
You have all the same arguments people made against the SETP. Guess who is winning that debate? Piper, PC12, TBM all are laughing all the way to the bank.
My take on his argument is primarily fuel efficiency. That jets are not suited for a FL250 limitation. I don't see that problem for the SETP's. They are all certified more or less to where METP's go. Yes you have oddballs like the Avanti and Cheyenne 400 (TU95?) that get into jet territory. But most turboprops run well in the 20s - just like the PC12, TBM and Meridian. There are zero civilian jets that run in the 20's on purpose.
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:18 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 20452 Post Likes: +25740 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: So, 2 hours and 128 gallons for a 600nm trip with 4 real people and bags. No way it does that. You feel into the "cruise speed/fuel trap". The turbine will burn a lot more fuel at low altitude and go a lot slower, so you have to account for that in each trip. Turbines are like that, and that is a strong difference from pistons. A proper model of the SF50 would be 110 gallons and 240 nm first hour, then 70 GPH and 300 nm each additional. This makes your 600 nm flight take 2.2 hours, burn 194 gallons. You have less than 1 hour of fuel left at low altitude, and your cabin load is down to full fuel payload, 400 pounds. Quote: $640 fuel + $400 maintenance/fixed = $1040 $1.73/nm for 4 people. That's 60% more than my Bonanza and well worth it for 300 ktas. Using realistic planning numbers, $970 in fuel, $440/hour fixed, $1410/hour, carrying only 2 people, no bags. You can fly a CJ for that and have money left over flying an EA500. Quote: The E500 is awesome in theory, but the oddball avionics and questionable continued existence of the company is very scary.
SF50 is all Garmin. It will be supported for a long time to come and Cirrus isn't going anywhere. Those are all big advantages to the SF50 Agree on both counts. The EA500 would be a roaring success if it first came with steam gauge instruments that owners could now swap out for G600s. Instead, they killed themselves with this super proprietary avionics suite. The irony is that they claimed the avionics make the EA500 "future proof". I agree, it is well protected against a future. So if I could get the airframe of the EA500 plus the Garmin avionics plus a sane company, then you have a winner and it has nothing to do with being an SEJ. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:19 |
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Joined: 11/08/12 Posts: 12822 Post Likes: +5263 Location: Jackson, MS (KHKS)
Aircraft: 1961 Cessna 172
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Username Protected wrote: Throw in a 30knot headwind and you might as well be in a Bo. A meridian would be faster.
If true ... ouch. But in that scenario you'd go WOT and make a gas stop.
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Post subject: Re: Cirrus SF50 Posted: 07 Dec 2014, 17:23 |
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Joined: 01/11/10 Posts: 3833 Post Likes: +4140 Location: (KADS) Dallas, TX
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Username Protected wrote: Oshkosh tells the tale. Mob scene at Cirrus with a lot more than lookers, people EXCITED about the jet and putting down deposits. Most everyone else was dead, including Cessna with the M2, Beech with a $1.6M Baron, etc. Similar mob scene at Eclipse tents when they were "selling". The mob scene is "cheap jet", not "jet single". Sell a twin jet for the same price, you get the same mob, plus some corporate and charter buyers, so the plane can actually be cheaper due to higher volume. Quote: IMO the challenge is not engineering perfection, its PILOTS. There are plenty of good pilots in the world, they just don't have $2M plus operating expenses, so they don't count. There are also a lot of rich people in the world, they are usually busy and don't have time to fly around 300 hours a year, attend 2 weeks of training, argue for hours on pilot boards, and live aviation. They do however count and they have spoken, they want a jet that a private pilot w/IR can handle flying 50-100 hours a year. Cirrus is just the only company listening. This is one of the most dangerous ideas in this thread, the idea that having only one engine allows the pilot to be somehow lesser and to take less training. In fact, just the OPPOSITE is true. 99% of flying a jet has nothing to do with 1 engine or 2. If the SF50 gets pilots who fear they can't handle two jet engines, they have no business flying a jet of any kind. They are going to find smoking holes in the ground just like so many did with SR20/22s. If Cirrus is smart, they will do what Eclipse did and require training through regulatory means. Then all the buyers ARE going to spend 2-3 weeks in training and they ARE going to require recurrent training once a year. So these 50 hour/year pilots have to step up to the training plate and do it. If Cirrus is deluding buyers that all they need is an IR, then that is fraud. Mike C.
Mike-
Come on man, I remember you from the Cessna board and I know you are very knowledgeable, but you're also not the only one here who has ever been in the Flight Levels. Of course there are dangers at higher altitudes, but it doesn't have to be the boggy man either. I have spent a lot of time talking to Cirrus. I have flown the last three versions of the SR-22. They are not stupid people, they learn from their mistakes, one of which was the quantity and required training to operate at higher altitudes. They sell piston aircraft that go to 25K unpressurized, so they know what their customers are going to encounter and the safety statistics have improved greatly.
Remember what people used to say about the MU-2?
BTW- They told me the altitude restriction was part of a new type and that the limitations would change with more real world data. They plan to have the jet limitation changed in time to 290 (below RVSM).
In general you are making a lot of absolute statements when none of us know exactly how it will all work out. The only thing I do know Cirrus is keenly aware of the challenges and plans to face them.
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