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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 13:43 
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Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
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I've got places I pay $3.50 a gallon. And it's just getting cheaper. You guys are wrong about the future of private aircraft travel. It will continue to grow in popularity. Commercial sucks bad and there's no Ebola on my plane. :D


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 14:03 
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Username Protected wrote:
I've got places I pay $3.50 a gallon. And it's just getting cheaper. You guys are wrong about the future of private aircraft travel. It will continue to grow in popularity. Commercial sucks bad and there's no Ebola on my plane. :D


Agreed 1000% percent. Commercial with 8 kids sucks an even bigger one. Screw the Ebola, I'm more worried about the radiation for the TSA machines

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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 14:25 
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Joined: 11/22/10
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Company: Stanford University
Location: Brentwood, CA - C83
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Check out where my home airport is. I'm a farmer.


So why the comment about "nobody lives in the country"? You say you live in the city, now you say you live in the county, contradicting yourself either way. Either you live in the country or you don't, which is it?

Irrelevant of all that silliness, it would be great to see GA improve...just doing my part buying lots of avgas.

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DISCLAIMER: I'm just a jaded engineer and my advice is worth exactly what you're paying for it...


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 14:26 
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Joined: 12/17/13
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Location: Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA
Aircraft: Aerostar Superstar 2
Either one of us, with a substantial investment, could start a company that could produce a small turboprop engine that would cost less than a piston engine. It's entirely doable. But you'll never see that from P&W or Honeywell - they're too comfortable.

Or maybe this little contraption from Lockheed will one day be real. Then we'll all fly intercontinental jets virtually for free. Make sure you watch the little clip:

http://www.avweb.com/avwebflash/news/Lockheed-Says-Its-Fusion-Reactor-Could-Power-Airplanes222910-1.html

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Without love, where would you be now?


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 15:23 
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Joined: 03/18/09
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Company: Elemental - Pipistrel
Location: KHCR
Aircraft: Citation CJ2+
Username Protected wrote:
JetA will be the future of GA, that's the problem. Only a very small percentage of the population will be able to afford it. GA will get smaller.


Unless you are flying a diesel engine. A 182 and 172 running diesel is pretty GA. I'll do mogas on the lighter ones.

50 years from now pilots won't be allowed to control an aircraft over populated areas. We will all be unsafe compared to the computers. That probably will be a true statement too. Sad but true. We've wanted to fly for thousands of years and we might be lucky to enjoy 150 years of it. Just the way it is.

My autopilot is flying as I type this from altitude. Soon it will do everything and I'll be a passenger.

Like the other Jason, I'm very pleased with the sub $4 jet-a now. It really makes a big difference and will for lots of GA guys!

Thinking I need an older 58 now for fun... Since prices are dropping. Or ---gasp--- a 310.

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Jason Talley
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http://www.elemental.aero

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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 15:31 
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Joined: 09/05/12
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Location: Portland, OR (KHIO)
Aircraft: 1962 Bonanza P35
Username Protected wrote:
Or maybe this little contraption from Lockheed will one day be real. Then we'll all fly intercontinental jets virtually for free. Make sure you watch the little clip:

http://www.avweb.com/avwebflash/news/Lockheed-Says-Its-Fusion-Reactor-Could-Power-Airplanes222910-1.html


Or maybe even travel through time :D


Please login or Register for a free account via the link in the red bar above to download files.

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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 15:31 
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Joined: 01/18/11
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Location: Lakeland , Ga
Aircraft: H35, T-41B, Aircoupe
Williams did start out doing disposable highly efficient turbofans.
Maybe we can buy some surplus cruise missiles. I could stick a pair on my duke.


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 17:17 
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Joined: 01/29/08
Posts: 26338
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Location: Walterboro, SC. KRBW
Aircraft: PC12NG
Username Protected wrote:
Check out where my home airport is. I'm a farmer.


So why the comment about "nobody lives in the country"? You say you live in the city, now you say you live in the county, contradicting yourself either way. Either you live in the country or you don't, which is it?

Irrelevant of all that silliness, it would be great to see GA improve...just doing my part buying lots of avgas.

I have an airplane. I live everywhere.

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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 20:16 
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Joined: 06/02/10
Posts: 7709
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Company: Inscrutable Fasteners, LLC
Location: West Palm Beach - F45
Aircraft: Planeless
Username Protected wrote:
Airspace designations alone are more than most people are willing to keep up with. How many different kinds do we have now? 15, 20, 25?


Five.


Quote:
If you live near or in a big city (and most of us do) you are going to have to deal with Class B, or fly ridiculously circuitous routes to get in and out. To a regular flyer these complications are background, a part of the challenge that makes flying interesting. But for most people it's simply too much.


Class B has pretty much the same rules as TCA's did 25 years ago. Same size too.


OK, oddly enough, I was going to "research" this very thing. I recently did a closet cleaning, and found some 22 year old sectionals. I spent an hour looking them over, and comparing them to the current charts. Here's what I found on the MIA/JAX/MSY Sectionals:

1) A few new airports
2) A few airports gone
3) A few airports moved (IE new airport built, the old airport razed)
4) MOAs/Restricted areas the same (a surprise to me)
5) Class B airspace changed SLIGHTLY. 1 new Class C area (Sandford).
6) Probably 10 or a dozen additional VFR towers (hardly airspace burdens).

I will grant you that TFRs (in their present state) and the DCA SFRA/FRZ are giant PITAs if you are local to them. I'd absolutely love to blast off without worrying about TFRs.

In 1991, I would think nothing of doing a XC with a DUAT printout and no call to FSS. These days, I always call for TFRs, but I'm anal retentive like that. Considering that only a few years before 1991, you ALWAYS had to call the FSS for a weather brief, I don't know if that constitutes a change or not.

So I'd think this is a great big :shrug:

So if we're going to tally up a list:

1991:

No obnoxious TFRs, no SFRA/FRZ. Fly into DCA if you wanted.
No obnoxious fences around your airport.
Fewer towers.
The King KX155 was "da bomb", but listed at $3500.
DUAT via dial up. No/minimal graphics.
Your "tablet" consisted of your kneeboard.
No "data" subscriptions
Relatively cheap gas. "Big" FBOs were less obnoxious to piston GA.
"Calling the FSS" at a lot of places meant using the spider infested pay phone on the side of the FBO.
You could listen to the ball game and shoot an approach with the same piece of equipment.

2014:
Cell phones w/integrated GPS and have flight planners and DUAT right on them.
24 hour SS fuel. Find out about locations via teh intrawebs before you go.
Panel mount GPSes with capability that was unimaginable in 1991, for the same price as that KX155

Lets all add to the list...

Best,
Rich

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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:02 
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Joined: 02/14/08
Posts: 3133
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Location: KGBR
Aircraft: D50
I've said it before (though we've all said all of this whole thread before) I think we are about to experience an enormous and unprecedented explosion in GA, almost unimaginable to us now, but commonly imagined in the era of the Jetson's etc. It will include drones, and pilotless passenger-carrying planes of all sizes.
Any town giving up a runway now will regret it very soon.

The old GA - meaning the one being lamented here - was an utter failure.

As far as Twin Prices - it's never been a better time to buy!

But the basic math of all twins; two good motors, a good panel, a decent airframe, paint and interior = 150 - 175 AMU at a minimum - anything less is deficient somewhere. So no matter what you pay, that's what it costs - and it seems like a red hot bargain to me.

Some day the good classic twins will be valued appropriately - meaning much higher - but there will be far fewer of them. Think Stradivarius.


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:03 
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Joined: 01/16/11
Posts: 11068
Post Likes: +7097
Location: Somewhere Over the Rainbow
Aircraft: PC12NG, G3Tat
Username Protected wrote:
JetA will be the future of GA, that's the problem. Only a very small percentage of the population will be able to afford it. GA will get smaller.


Unless you are flying a diesel engine. A 182 and 172 running diesel is pretty GA. I'll do mogas on the lighter ones.

50 years from now pilots won't be allowed to control an aircraft over populated areas. We will all be unsafe compared to the computers. That probably will be a true statement too. Sad but true. We've wanted to fly for thousands of years and we might be lucky to enjoy 150 years of it. Just the way it is.

My autopilot is flying as I type this from altitude. Soon it will do everything and I'll be a passenger.

Like the other Jason, I'm very pleased with the sub $4 jet-a now. It really makes a big difference and will for lots of GA guys!

Thinking I need an older 58 now for fun... Since prices are dropping. Or ---gasp--- a 310.


Forget that 310. You need a newer 58 and I may have just the bird ;)
_________________
---Rusty Shoe Keeper---


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:42 
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Joined: 12/19/08
Posts: 12160
Post Likes: +3545
Aircraft: C55
Username Protected wrote:
I've said it before (though we've all said all of this whole thread before) I think we are about to experience an enormous and unprecedented explosion in GA, almost unimaginable to us now, but commonly imagined in the era of the Jetson's etc. It will include drones, and pilotless passenger-carrying planes of all sizes.
Any town giving up a runway now will regret it very soon.

The old GA - meaning the one being lamented here - was an utter failure.

As far as Twin Prices - it's never been a better time to buy!

But the basic math of all twins; two good motors, a good panel, a decent airframe, paint and interior = 150 - 175 AMU at a minimum - anything less is deficient somewhere. So no matter what you pay, that's what it costs - and it seems like a red hot bargain to me.

Some day the good classic twins will be valued appropriately - meaning much higher - but there will be far fewer of them. Think Stradivarius.



I would contest this data. I have bought many very capable twins for under $100k that were not deficient.

_________________
The kid gets it all. Just plant us in the damn garden, next to the stupid lion.


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:45 
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Joined: 02/14/08
Posts: 3133
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Location: KGBR
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They had new paint, new interior, modern avionics, and low time motors?


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:50 
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Joined: 05/05/09
Posts: 5302
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Aircraft: C501, R66, A36
Username Protected wrote:
I've got places I pay $3.50 a gallon. And it's just getting cheaper. You guys are wrong about the future of private aircraft travel. It will continue to grow in popularity. Commercial sucks bad and there's no Ebola on my plane. :D


Ebola sucks test those girls on your pilatus


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 Post subject: Re: Twin Prices Crashing
PostPosted: 18 Oct 2014, 21:52 
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Joined: 12/19/08
Posts: 12160
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Aircraft: C55
Username Protected wrote:
They had new paint, new interior, modern avionics, and low time motors?


1978 Duke 300 SMOH both sides (good shop) and recently done, 3 year old paint, 3 year old leather interior, rebuilt autopilot, winglets, extended fuel, NDH, $60k. Needed $40k spent on the panel to make it pristine. So, $100k for a beautiful low time Duke with modern panel

Bought many Colemill Barons with low to mid time engines for under $100k and an extremely nice 58P with a 100 hour engine and 1000 hour engine for $100k with good avionics. All these planes had full de-ice and radar as well.

Plenty of twins out there for sale and there will be more. More people are flocking to experimentals and plastic planes with parachutes.

_________________
The kid gets it all. Just plant us in the damn garden, next to the stupid lion.


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