17 Jan 2026, 21:03 [ UTC - 5; DST ]
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 06 Aug 2023, 09:06 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 21096 Post Likes: +26531 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Joining Williams programs arbitrarily can bump up your overhaul and hot section inspection intervals 1000 hours. Amazing engine design whose durability is affect by writing monthly checks! The metallurgy involved must be fantastic! Quote: But, if you go this route, you better just make peace with it knowing you're flying behind reliable, efficient engines with a stellar support group. But with the risk of changes in terms every 5 years or arbitrary increases in cost every year. Imagine if Williams says "no engines over 10,000 hours are eligible for TAP any more. Buy new engines." That is completely within their abilities to decide when it comes to contract renewal. It is easy for Williams to collect money when the engines need little to no work, but as they get older, you can expect Williams to increase prices to restore the profit they expect from these programs. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 06 Aug 2023, 13:01 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 21096 Post Likes: +26531 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Something to watch, certainly, but I wouldn't be paranoid over it. Maybe not, but FJ44 owners are essentially powerless in the relationship with Williams. I've been watching the contract terms gradually erode owner benefits. They now basically force all owners to be on TAP Blue, TAP Elite is gone. Prediction: 2024 TAP Blue prices will touch $450/hour/aircraft. Williams will claim inflation and supply side material issues, but they can raise prices entirely at their whim. Nothing any owner can do but pay, or treat their airplane as disposable. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 06 Aug 2023, 16:47 |
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Joined: 05/08/13 Posts: 585 Post Likes: +361 Company: Citation Jet Exchange Location: St. Louis
Aircraft: 58P C510 C525 Excel
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Pratt is NO different! Pratt has a 5 year contract and the rates escalate annually. The only difference I see is if you are directly on ESP with Pratt there are no annual minimums. Williams CJ2+ went from $348/hr in 2022 to $385 in 2023, an increase of $37 or 10.6% ESP - Pratt on our Excel went from $552 to $626, a $74 increase or 13.4% increase. Keep carrying on with items you have no experience with, Mike. -The Citation Jet Exchange www.citationjetx.com
_________________ The Citation Jet Exchange www.CitationJetX.com CJs, Mustangs, Excels
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 06 Aug 2023, 17:33 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 21096 Post Likes: +26531 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: Pratt is NO different! For PW500 series, yes. For JT15D, no, there are independent shops, PMA parts, and more used parts in the market. The control is more with the owner and less with Pratt. The general trend with all aviation things is for manufacturers to control what happens to their products to the detriment of the owners. New stuff has fewer options and more onerous and expensive required maintenance that is defined by business instead of engineering. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 09:38 |
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Joined: 08/16/15 Posts: 3810 Post Likes: +5648 Location: Ogden UT
Aircraft: Piper M600
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Username Protected wrote: Chuck of the two fatal in Mustang #1 was a pro crew flying an approach in major snow storm. They were apparently afraid of ice. At 230 kts they flew into a mountain. Some speculation ice was not a reason for the excessive speed because as you snow generally does not stick. Reportedly the two regularly flew approaches at high speeds. You can’t fix stupid even with two pro pilots.
#2 was well documented suicide. There has not been a single pilot “accidental” fatal event. No doubt it will happen someday! Thanks for clarifying that. Just remember that when comparing airframes, you can't pick and choose accidents unless you do that with all airframes. You know the Meridian as well as anyone, but it is worth mentioning in the fatal Meridian accidents. -3 of the fatal Meridian accidents were non-instrument rated pilots flying in IMC -1 was an instrument pilot, VFR in IMC that flew into a mountain. -2 tangled with Thunderstorms -2 were pilots with tox screens suggesting impairment -1 pilot incapacitation. Take those out of the Meridian record book and it enjoys a safety record equivalent to the biz jet world. But if you just compare apples to apples, you have to take the whole data. In a turbine, it is almost never the plane that causes the accident.
_________________ Chuck Ivester Piper M600 Ogden UT
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 10:47 |
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Joined: 05/23/13 Posts: 8865 Post Likes: +11564 Company: Jet Acquisitions Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
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Username Protected wrote: Pratt is NO different! For PW500 series, yes. For JT15D, no, there are independent shops, PMA parts, and more used parts in the market. The control is more with the owner and less with Pratt. The general trend with all aviation things is for manufacturers to control what happens to their products to the detriment of the owners. New stuff has fewer options and more onerous and expensive required maintenance that is defined by business instead of engineering. Mike C.
Mike... you don't like programs... we get it.
You have the choice to fly a 30 year old airplane with 50 year old engine technology, you ignore the potential cost involved and then treat people who pay Williams for concierge level service, like they are stupid.
Funny thing is, it's been my experience that most people who can afford to buy a jet are actually very intelligent. They typically make good decisions. There are about 2000 Citations operated with engines off program and about 6000 that are operated with engines on program.
That's a 3 to 1 ratio, and we're just talking Citations, if we did the same math for all jets that ratio will increase.
So... you say you're smarter than everyone else, but three times as many smart people are making a different choice.
Yes, you don't really have the choice of operating a Williams airplane off program, but I promise you that if customers quite buying the airplanes or quit signing up for the programs they would have to change their business model.
At the end of the day, you're a contrarian, I love that about you... I'm typically a contrarian myself. In fact, I find myself taking stronger positions on some things than I normally would, just to solidify my position on the opposite side of the debate from you.
I do have a feeling that if you won the lottery, you'd be flying a Williams powered airplane and telling us all how smart it is.
_________________ Be kind. You never know what someone is going through.
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 11:34 |
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Joined: 11/06/20 Posts: 1732 Post Likes: +1786 Location: Tulsa, OK - KRVS
Aircraft: C501SP
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Username Protected wrote: I wouldn't hold hands too much with Pratt either - after 60 years of the PT6 there's still not a single source that can tell you what an actual overhaul costs. "We'll tell you the price of the overhaul once it's securely hostaged in the shop" also known as the made-him-an-offer-he-couldn't-refuse business model.
I suspect the jet engines would be treated similarly to the TP once on the stand. To be fair, there are some very expensive things inside the engine that are "on condition" and so until they crack the case open they don't know if you're going to be in for a new $50,000 wheel or not. At least you have options for shops when it comes to the older Pratts. I use an independent shop (RBR out of Dallas) and based on work they've done for me and discussions I have had with them I trust them to do the right thing.
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 12:11 |
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Joined: 12/17/13 Posts: 6683 Post Likes: +5992 Location: Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA
Aircraft: Aerostar Superstar 2
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Username Protected wrote: To be fair, there are some very expensive things inside the engine that are "on condition" and so until they crack the case open they don't know if you're going to be in for a new $50,000 wheel or not.
At least you have options for shops when it comes to the older Pratts. I use an independent shop (RBR out of Dallas) and based on work they've done for me and discussions I have had with them I trust them to do the right thing. I know, but they don't even offer a price list or scenario-based option. It's just "we'll tell you what it will cost". I mean, no other industry is as obfuscating as aviation.
_________________ "Either we heal now as a team, or we will die as individuals."
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 12:28 |
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Joined: 12/03/14 Posts: 21096 Post Likes: +26531 Company: Ciholas, Inc Location: KEHR
Aircraft: C560V
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Username Protected wrote: A lot of you guys are not acknowledging the fact that banks/lenders often REQUIRE engines to be on a program to lend on these types of airplanes For the older planes, getting loans is difficult regardless of engine programs. Of course, the older airplanes are much lower cost, so that isn't as much of an issue. My V was bought for what would hardly be a down payment on a P300 or CJ2/3. That saves interest payments on the loan which can be quite substantial as compared to yearly operating expenses, especially in recent times. Mike C.
_________________ Email mikec (at) ciholas.com
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 12:29 |
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Joined: 11/06/20 Posts: 1732 Post Likes: +1786 Location: Tulsa, OK - KRVS
Aircraft: C501SP
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Username Protected wrote: I know, but they don't even offer a price list or scenario-based option. It's just "we'll tell you what it will cost". I mean, no other industry is as obfuscating as aviation. I'm pretty confident that when it comes time for my HSI, RBR will give me ranges based on what could happen once they crack the case. But, your assertion is wrong. The medical industry is WAY worse. Not only will they bill you whatever they want and will never give you a price for anything ahead of time, if they screw up they will bill you to fix their screwups too. I had 2 friends go for outpatient orthopedic surgery (at Stanford no less) given MRSA infections in the hospital. One almost died and the other nearly lost their leg. Medical system billed their insurance for the rehab when it was 100% their fault. This is the equivalent of your mechanic dropping your car off of a lift and then billing you for the repairs.
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 13:00 |
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Joined: 12/17/13 Posts: 6683 Post Likes: +5992 Location: Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA
Aircraft: Aerostar Superstar 2
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Username Protected wrote: But, your assertion is wrong. The medical industry is WAY worse. Not only will they bill you whatever they want and will never give you a price for anything ahead of time, if they screw up they will bill you to fix their screwups too. I had 2 friends go for outpatient orthopedic surgery (at Stanford no less) given MRSA infections in the hospital. One almost died and the other nearly lost their leg. Medical system billed their insurance for the rehab when it was 100% their fault. This is the equivalent of your mechanic dropping your car off of a lift and then billing you for the repairs.
Agreed 100% - medical world is actually even worse.
_________________ "Either we heal now as a team, or we will die as individuals."
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Post subject: Re: real world Phenom 300 vs CJ2/3 operating costs Posted: 07 Aug 2023, 13:05 |
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Joined: 05/23/13 Posts: 8865 Post Likes: +11564 Company: Jet Acquisitions Location: Franklin, TN 615-739-9091 chip@jetacq.com
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Username Protected wrote: To be fair, there are some very expensive things inside the engine that are "on condition" and so until they crack the case open they don't know if you're going to be in for a new $50,000 wheel or not.
At least you have options for shops when it comes to the older Pratts. I use an independent shop (RBR out of Dallas) and based on work they've done for me and discussions I have had with them I trust them to do the right thing. I know, but they don't even offer a price list or scenario-based option. It's just "we'll tell you what it will cost". I mean, no other industry is as obfuscating as aviation.
I get the frustration, but once you reach a certain point it is possible to get a good idea of what the range will be. The last set of overhauls we did were Pratt -60A's, they told us $1M - $1.2M and what variables would drive that price, they came in at $1.1M and then we went to work, we ended up around $950k
A good question to ask is can you tell me what the last 3-4 overhauls of this motor cost.
It also seems like they often like to shock you with a high number and then get beat down from there.
Obviously, it's harder to negotiate now because they are so far behind... supply an demand. It sure makes those program engines easy!
_________________ Be kind. You never know what someone is going through.
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